What is every team's floor and ceiling for the upcoming season? To start off, what is a floor and ceiling for NFL teams? A floor is a team's worst possible record. If everything goes wrong, that is the record they would have. A ceiling is the best a team can do. If everything goes right, that is the record they would have. Here is every teams floor and ceiling for the 2023 season.
ARI | ATL | BAL | BUF | CAR | CHI | CIN | CLE | DAL | DEN | DET | GB | HOU | IND | JAX | KC | LA | LAC | LV | MIA | MIN | NE | NO | NYG | NYJ | PHI | PIT | SEA | SF | TB | TEN | WAS |
The Commanders are a team that will be very hard to predict in the upcoming season. Howell played well in Week 18, but will he be able to play like that for the whole season? If he can, they will be pretty good. But, if he can't, the Commanders could have a pretty bad record.
The Washington Commanders floor is 5-12
The Washington Commanders ceiling is 9-8
The Cowboys had a decent offseason, getting rid of Zeke and trading for Gilmore and Cooks. If Dak limits his turnovers, the Cowboys will have a great season. But, if Dak continues to turn over the ball, they could miss the playoffs.
The Dallas Cowboys floor is 7-10
The Dallas Cowboys ceiling is 12-5
The Eagles just made the Super Bowl, and are coming into the 2023 Season hoping they can finally bring back the Lombardi trophy back to Philadelphia. They had a great draft, and signed some key players this offseason. They will be very good this year.
The Philadelphia Eagles floor is 10-7
The Philadelphia Eagles ceiling is 16-1
The Giants had a surprisingly good season last year, mostly due to the success of RB Saquon Barkley. If he can repeat his performance last year, and Daniel Jones can stay consistent in the passing game, the Giants will have another great season.
The NY Giants floor is 7-10
The NY Giants ceiling is 11-6
The Saints are one of the hardest teams to predict for the upcoming season, They signed QB Derek Carr, and Michael Thomas is coming back healthy. If everything goes well, they could have a great season. But, if things go south, and injuries start to pile up, they could have a very disastrous season.
The New Orleans Saints floor is 6-11
The New Orleans Saints ceiling is 10-7
The Atlanta Falcons could be a team that surprises some people this year. Yes, they do have a very inexperienced QB in Desmond Ridder, so that could end up being disastrous. But, if he does take the leap, the Falcons could be pretty good. Bijan will give them a consistent run game to lean on. Ridder is really the deciding factor for their season.
The Atlanta Falcons floor is 3-14
The Atlanta Falcons ceiling is 9-8
The Carolina Panthers have had a good offseason. They got themselves their franchise QB, but unfortunately had to get rid of DJ Moore. If Bryce Young performs this season, the Panthers could easily make the playoffs. If he doesn't have any success in the passing game, the Panthers have no shot at the playoffs.
The Carolina Panthers floor is 5-12
The Carolina Panthers ceiling is 10-7
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers will not be good this year. It's simple. Even if Baker does well, they just don't have the roster to have any success. I would be very surprised if the Bucs finished over .500.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers floor is 1-16
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers ceiling is 6-11
The Lions completely turned their season around last year, and they finished above .500. They had a decent offseason, filling up some key needs. They surprised many people by drafting Jahmyr Gibbs at #12, but I didn't hate this pick. They now have a consistent run game to pair with their explosive passing offense.
The Detroit Lions floor is 7-10
The Detroit Lions ceiling is 13-4
The Packers will be a very hard team to predict in 2023. They got rid of Rodgers this year, and Jordan Love will finally get his shot. They have a good running game to lean on, and if Jordan Love performs well, the Packers could be a team to watch out for.
The Green Bay Packers floor is 5-12
The Green Bay Packers ceiling is 10-7
The Vikings had a great regular season last year, but lost to the Giants in the first round. Kirk Cousins had a pretty good season last year, but I expect him to have a slight regression. Although he got a lot more weapons, I just don't feel like he can repeat the success that he had last year. If he can, the Vikings will be very good. If he can't, I could see them missing the playoffs.
The Minnesota Vikings floor is 7-10
The Minnesota Vikings ceiling in 12-5
The Chicago Bears had a great offseason. They got a true WR1, and finally got Justin Fields some help on the O-Line. Fields had a great year last season, and if he continues to grow, Chicago could be a sleeper pick for the playoffs.
The Chicago Bears floor is 6-11
The Chicago Bears ceiling is 10-7
The Seattle Seahawks floor is 8-9
The Seattle Seahawks ceiling is 13-4
The San Francisco 49ers have everything you want in a super bowl contender..... except a consistent QB. Darnold has been super inconsistent and Purdy and Lance are coming back from injuries. If the QB position doesn't get figured out, things could get pretty bad. But, if they figure it out, they could be one of the best teams in the NFL.
The San Francisco 49ers floor is 7-10
The San Francisco 49ers ceiling is 15-2
The Los Angeles Rams could be a team that surprises some people. Yes, they had a horrible season in 2022. But, if we look into why that was, it was due to injuries. If their roster can stay healthy through the season, they have a chance to be pretty good. But, if everything doesn't go according to plan, they could be one of the worst teams in the NFL.
The Los Angeles Rams floor is 3-14
The Los Angeles Rams ceiling is 10-7
The Arizona Cardinals will be horrible. There is absolutely no chance they are going to even be decent. They cut their best player, and really don't have much talent outside of Murray, who's coming off of an ACL injury. They have a very low floor and a very low ceiling.
The Arizona Cardinals floor is 0-17
The Arizona Cardinals ceiling is 5-12
The New York Jets had a great offseason, getting their new star QB , Aaron Rodgers. They had a top 5 defense last year, and their WR room is continuing to grow. Breece Hall is coming off his injury, and is ready to continue to dominate. I expect good things from this team.
The New York Jets floor is 7-10
The New York Jets ceiling is 13-4
The Miami Dolphins are a team that will be pretty hard to predict. They got better, but so did their division. There also are lots of concerns regarding the health of Tua. If Tua stays healthy this season, they are definitely a playoff team. But, if he can't, I could see them missing the playoffs.
The Miami Dolphins floor is 8-9
The Miami Dolphins ceiling is 13-4
The Buffalo Bills have been one of the most disappointing playoff teams in the past few years. Every year they are expected to finally make the Super Bowl, and then they collapse. I think the exact same thing will happen this year. But, regarding the regular season, they have been one of the best teams. I expect nothing less than that this year.
The Buffalo Bills floor is 10-7
The Buffalo Bills ceiling is 15-2
The Patriots need a change. Mac Jones is not good! It's simple. If they continue to ride with Mac, they will not be a good team. For them to have any success in the regular season and playoffs, they need to move on. I have low expectations for this team in 2023.
The New England Patriots floor is 4-13
The New England Patriots ceiling is 8-9
The Tennessee Titans are a team that I just can't trust. Mike Vrabel is a great coach, but the QB situation makes me hesitant to call this team good. I think Will Levis will be a good QB, but he needs time to develop. Tannehill is too old and inconsistent for me to trust him. This team has potential to be good, but I just don't think this is their year.
The Tennessee Titans floor is 6-11
The Tennessee Titans ceiling is 10-7
The Indianapolis Colts just drafted their franchise QB , Anthony Richardson. Here's the problem- Richardson is a project. The Colts will not be good this year. Sure, they have JT, who could single-handedly win them some games. But, besides that, who do they really have?
The Indianapolis Colts floor is 4-13
The Indianapolis Colts ceiling is 9-8
I expect some big things from the Jacksonville Jaguars. As said in this article, I believe the Jaguars will make the AFC Championship in 2023. Calvin Ridley is finally able to play, and Lawrence is continuing to get better. They will be very good this year.
The Jacksonville Jaguars floor is 9-8
The Jacksonville Jaguars ceiling is 14-3
The Houston Texans had a great offseason, especially due to the NFL Draft. They got their franchise QB and the best defensive player in the draft. Wow. I don't expect them to be great this year, but they will be a force in a few years.
The Houston Texans floor is 3-14
The Houston Texans ceiling is 8-9
The Baltimore Ravens finally re-signed QB Lamar Jackson, and they finally have a WR1 in Odell Beckham Jr. If everyone can stay healthy, they could be a dark-horse contender. I expect big things from them
The Baltimore Ravens floor is 8-9
The Baltimore Ravens ceiling is 12-5
Coming off a crushing defeat in the final seconds of the AFC Championship, the Bengals will be out for blood this season. They have great protection for Burrow, and their defense is slowly becoming elite. They are definitely contenders.
The Cincinnati Bengals floor is 11-6
The Cincinnati Bengals ceiling is 15-2
The Cleveland Browns traded for Deshaun Watson last offseason, and he disappointed. If he performs like he did last year, they are not going anywhere. However, if he goes back to his Texans forms, the Browns could easily make the playoffs.
The Cleveland Browns floor is 6-11
The Cleveland Browns ceiling is 11-6
The Pittsburgh Steelers had an amazing second half of their season. Pickett led some amazing game winning drives and Najee finally got the run game going. This team will be very good in the 2023 season.
The Pittsburgh Steelers floor is 7-10
The Pittsburgh Steelers ceiling is 12-5
The Chargers had a historical collapse last year in the wild card round, and they will be looking to bounce back this season. They have a well rounded roster, and if they can stay healthy, the Chargers will be a very dangerous team this year.
The Los Angeles Chargers floor is 8-9
The Los Angeles Chargers ceiling is 13-4
The Kansas City Chiefs are the reigning Super Bowl champs, and they will be looking to repeat success in the upcoming season. The Chiefs did not have a great offseason, but they still have a very elite roster. I expect lots of good things from them in the upcoming season.
The Kansas City Chiefs floor is 10-7
The Kansas City Chiefs ceiling is 15-2
The Denver Broncos had a disappointing season last year, but they did make some big offseason moves. They got their new head coach, Sean Payton, who has been one of the best coaches in the last decade. I expect them to be much better this year.
The Denver Broncos floor is 6-11
The Denver Broncos ceiling is 11-6
The Raiders also had a very disappointing season last year. They benched Derek Carr, and then cut him. This offseason, they signed Jimmy G, but he failed his physical. If he fails it again, they can cut him with a $0 penalty. If they cut him, a sneaky pick for their QB could be Tom Brady. He is trying to buy a part of the Raiders, and if he does, there is a path in which he can become their QB. If this happens, they will be elite. If they stick with Jimmy G, this team will not be good.
The Las Vegas Raiders floor is 4-13
The Las Vegas Raiders ceiling is 10-7
This is fire bro